The impending US tariffs pose a significant challenge for Indian exports, particularly in labor-intensive sectors such as leather and textiles, which are now subject to elevated duties. This situation threatens to result in job losses in key states like Uttar Pradesh and Gujarat, raising concerns about the socio-economic implications of these tariffs. The Modi government appears poised to uphold its commitment to fiscal prudence, opting against substantial financial support for businesses adversely affected by these changes. Instead, a modest credit package is being contemplated, which may not adequately address the needs of small exporters facing heightened financial strain.
The core takeaway from this scenario is the delicate balance the Modi administration must strike between maintaining fiscal discipline and supporting vulnerable sectors. While the intention to avoid large-scale financial intervention reflects a commitment to economic stability, it also risks exacerbating the challenges faced by small exporters. The potential fallout from job losses could have broader implications for regional economies, necessitating a reevaluation of strategies to mitigate the adverse effects of external economic pressures while fostering resilience in the domestic market.